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Tobias Ten: Volleyball takes on SEC

Missouri players watch a highlight reel before a game against Alabama on Friday, Oct. 11, 2024, at the Hearnes Center in Columbia. (Cal Tobias/Rock M Nation)

RMN’s photo editor shares some pictures from this week’s volleyball & softball contests.

  1. All of the Lights

Missouri players watch a highlight reel before a game against Alabama on Friday, Oct. 11, 2024, at the Hearnes Center in Columbia. (Cal Tobias/Rock M Nation)

Mizzou Athletics never fails to bring the theatrics before all games— look at this great lighting before the Alabama game! Maybe it even helped them take down the Tide.

2. Iliff Illumination


Missouri’s Jordan Iliff (4) prepares for the serve during a game against Alabama on Friday, Oct. 11, 2024, at the Hearnes Center in Columbia. (Cal Tobias/Rock M Nation)

Mizzou’s star, Jordan Iliff, never backs down from any opponent. Here, she eagerly awaits the Alabama serve.

3. Chaos at the Hearnes


The Missouri swim & dive team celebrates the volleyball team winning their first set during a game against Alabama on Friday, Oct. 11, 2024, at the Hearnes Center in Columbia. (Cal Tobias/Rock M Nation)

Friday’s game was “Athletes’ Night” at the Hearnes, and every team, from soccer to basketball, turned out. (Football was missing, I’m still trying to figure out why that was.) But the star of the show was the swim & dive team, who took off an article of clothing each time Mizzou got ahead of Alabama in a set. By the time Missouri won the set (they only needed three) the swimmers were wearing nothing but Speedos and going bonkers over the team.

4. I got it!


Missouri’s Maya Sands (3) and Missouri’s Kiaraliz Perez Catala (15) can’t decide who’ll hit the ball during a game against Alabama on Friday, Oct. 11, 2024, at the Hearnes Center in Columbia. (Cal Tobias/Rock M Nation)

Maya Sands and Kiaraliz Perez Catala apparently couldn’t decide who would hit the ball in the third set, so they both went for it! Redundancy, it’s important.

5. SEC! SEC! SEC!


Missouri head coach Dawn Sullivan watches her players during a game against Alabama on Friday, Oct. 11, 2024, at the Hearnes Center in Columbia. (Cal Tobias/Rock M Nation)

Friday’s game was the volleyball SEC opener for Missouri. The Southeastern Conference has been no challenge for Dawn Sullivan, who won SEC Coach of the Year in 2023, and went .500 in the tough conference last year. This year, she is batting .600, with wins over LSU, Alabama, and Tennessee.

6. To the Diamond


Missouri third baseman Saniya Hill throws down an Illinois runner in a fall-ball game against Illinois on Saturday, Oct. 12, 2024, at the Mizzou Softball Stadium.

Missouri fans got a small look at the MU softball team on Saturday’s “Braggin’ Rights” rivalry scrimmage, with new faces like freshman third baseman Saniya Hill in action. The Tigers ultimately took ownership of said rights, winning 9-3.

7. Old & New


Missouri’s Kara Daly throws down an Illinois runner in a fall-ball game on Saturday, Oct. 12, 2024, at the Mizzou Softball Stadium. (Cal Tobias/Rock M Nation)

Tiger fans also got to see some favorites from last year’s team on the diamond once again; though several beloved seniors graduated, some stars are still here, like Kara Daly, who showed out with her impressive infield defense from both third base and shortstop.

8. Back to the Hearnes


Tennessee’s Hayden Kubik (33) blocks a shot by Missouri’s Marina Crownover (22) during a game on Sunday, Oct. 13, 2024, at the Hearnes Center in Columbia, Mo. (CAL TOBIAS/ROCK M NATION)

Back to volleyball, the Tigers faced unranked but receiving votes Tennessee team on Sunday, and it was a hard-fought battle, going to five sets. Here, Tennessee’s Hayden Kubik (33) blocks Marina Crownover’s (22) shot right back at her.

9. The Dagger


Missouri’s Mychael Vernon (19) and Regan Haith (11) deliver the game-winning block of Tennessee’s Hayden Kubik (33) to win the fifth set on Sunday, Oct. 13, 2024, at the Hearnes Center in Columbia, Mo. (CAL TOBIAS/ROCK M NATION)

The game ended in spectacular fashion, as Mychael Vernon and Regan Haith blocked a Volunteer shot to win the fifth set and the game. Here’s the shot of that crucial play, captured from behind the Missouri side.

10. Victor of the Vols


Missouri’s Regan Haith (11) celebrates her game-winning block to win the fifth set of a game against Tennessee on Sunday, Oct. 13, 2024, at the Hearnes Center in Columbia, Mo. (CAL TOBIAS/ROCK M NATION)

Who loves a nice celebration shot! Here’s Haith celebrating her game-winning block with the rest of the team. Tigers will next face Miss. State next Sunday and then go on a stretch of road games, hopefully carrying with them this same energy.

Honorable Mention (Karen’s Pick)


Missouri’s Colleen Finney (1) celebrates making a kill during a game against Alabama on Friday, Oct. 11, 2024, at the Hearnes Center in Columbia. (Cal Tobias/Rock M Nation)

We’d be remiss not to include a reaction shot from Colleen Finney, who gives some of best facial expressions around.

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SEC Hoops Preview: Georgia Bulldogs

NCAA Basketball: SEC Conference Tournament First Round-Missouri vs Georgia
Christopher Hanewinckel-Imagn Images

Previewing the Georgia Bulldogs Men’s Basketball team. How will Mike White get Georgia over the hump?

The 2023-24 season was another unkind one for the Georgia Bulldogs. They won 20 games, but reaching that benchmark required 37 games and an extended trip to the NIT. It was also the best season in Athens since 2018 if you’re gauging success by KenPom.com ratings. But that’s how things have been going for Georgia basketball fans since Mark Fox was fired after that 2018 season.

Tom Crean failed to get things going, and Mike White has had two unremarkable seasons. Even under Mark Fox, the Bulldogs have only had one top-60 finish in KenPom over the past nine years. And it’s been since 2003 when Georgia last finished inside the top 30.

So last season, White tried to mix youth with some experienced transfers in hopes of bridging his roster to a season where some younger and talented reinforcements could come in and get them over the hump.


Other SEC Previews:

Georgia Preview

Georgia Bulldogs

Last season: 20 – 17 (6-12 in conference) #84

The Masses Prediction: 10th in conference, 8 – 10

Analytics Average: 14th in conference, 63rd overall

NCAA Basketball: Mississippi at Georgia
Dale Zanine-Imagn Images

HEAD COACH: Mike White | 3rd Season, 36-33

What does Georgia basketball want to be? It’s a question nearly as perplexing as who Mike White is.

White hails from a prominent athletics family. His father was an athletic director, and he has three siblings working in athletics administration, including the AD at Tennessee and Florida Atlantic. He’s been at Georgia for three seasons, Florida for seven seasons before, and Louisiana Tech for four years. However, despite being in the public eye for as long as he has been, White’s demeanor and interactions with the press are as interesting as his name.

The pedigree alone is intriguing, but White’s foray into head coaching at the high-major level has been largely disappointing. Florida basketball’s decline under White’s stewardship wasn’t some immediate splash of cold water. Instead, it was a slow decline toward the middle. Then came White’s move to Georgia, a program largely devoid of success for the better part of 20 years, where basketball is very much second fiddle to football. So, perhaps this is where White can sustain things a bit?

A nondescript name, running a non-descript program, out of the spotlight of a more premier program. It’s a program where it seems the main goal is, Don’t embarrass us by going 6-26 like Tom Crean!

2024 preview Georgia 10 year look

Through two seasons, UGA has somewhat resembled Fox’s tenure. Yet Fox had two seasons in which the Bulldogs snuck into the NCAA tournament as a No. 10 seed. Those trips coincided with when the SEC was a relatively weaker conference overall.

The advent of the SEC Network has forced SEC schools up and down the conference to “care” about hoops. I think you can almost draw a direct line between those events and Georgia’s slip from respectable to also-ran. Even last year’s NIT run was a gift, as better teams turned down a trip so coaches could spend more time on the transfer portal. If Georgia can find their way onto the bubble this year, it will be the first time in 10 years they’ve even been close.

LOST PRODUCTION

% Minutes: 71.35% | 11th
% Points: 73.84% | 11th
% Possessions: 72.95% | 12th

At no point was the UGA all-in on last season. White had very clearly recruited a solid freshman class with the idea he would build around the younger players while leaning on the experienced roster to keep them competitive.

It mostly worked.

Russell Tchewa ate up space in the middle. Combo guard Noah Thomasson ate up possessions while Jabri Abdur-Rahim and RJ Melendez spaced the floor. Thomasson finished his eligibility, and Abdur-Rahim and Melendez each entered the transfer portal.

The turnover has undeniably left Georgia with a challenging situation. The current roster is only ahead of Arkansas and Kentucky in career games played. For a program striving to establish a foothold and grow, losing seven of your top 10 players is a significant obstacle.

NCAA Basketball: Texas A&M at Georgia
Dale Zanine-Imagn Images
2024 preview Georgia roster

The good news? The three returners from White’s rotation were all freshmen and integral building blocks for the future. That includes point guard Silas Demary, a top-100 recruit and a physical lead guard out of North Carolina. His size and strength make him a difficult matchup, as he can use his body to get into and maneuver in tight spaces around the rim. As a freshman, however, Demary didn’t find a successful niche. Half of his touches were spot-ups but only worth 0.894 points per possession. His efficiency in pick-and-rolls (0.769 PPP) wasn’t much better. Developing Demary as a primary attacker and cleaning up his scoring and distribution on pick and rolls will go a long way toward making his half-court game more efficient and making Georgia a better team.

To help Demary out, White added Asa Newell, a five-star recruit who defines the modern four-man. He’s just as good converting as a roller at the rim as he is popping. He can also relocate and space the floor. And if Newell settles in quickly, White might have a tandem to power a resurgence in his third season.

Blue Cain is also back after a freshman season that saw him develop as a reliable floor spacer, making 35% of his 3-point attempts. Helping to space the floor will be transfer wings Dakota Leffew and De’Shayne Montgomery, both from Mount St. Mary’s, who combined to make 103 threes on 271 attempts (38%). Tyrin Lawrence arrives as a playmaker and guard to complement Demary.

On the interior, the Bulldogs signed Somto Cyril, a limited offensive player with a monstrous defensive upside, and added Justin Abson in the transfer portal. Abson was a big-time defensive presence in the middle for Appalachian State last season. Then, both Dylan James and R.J. Godfrey should be able to see minutes at the swing forward spot.

NCAA Basketball: Mount St. Mary’s at Mississippi
Petre Thomas-Imagn Images
2024 preview georgia depth projections

The faster Demary, Cain, and Newell develop into reliable starters, the better this whole experiment will go. The projections above are based on many factors described in the text at the bottom of the page. Still, I’ll always point out that while projections aren’t pure guesswork, nothing is set in stone.

Exceeding expectations hinges on Demary growing into a reliable creator as a sophomore. That progress would free White to use the sophomore for roughly 30 minutes a game and boost his usage to 25 percent. The Bulldogs could push for an NCAA tournament bid if Demary’s efficiency holds up.

A lot of this is riding on Demary because there isn’t much ball handling and playmaking behind him.

Leffew and Montgomery were primary playmakers for Mount St. Mary’s, but that was at a program that finished eighth in the MAAC, the nation’s 25th-best conference. Ahead of them is Lawrence, who saw his efficiency slump at Vanderbilt. Again, UGA’s overall roster is the third-least experienced group in the SEC, and the vets White pulled from the portal project as role players.

2024 preview georgia non-conference
2024 preview georgia conference

If you see any differences, that’s because KenPom.com updated last night, so I’ve updated the rating to support all four KenPom, EvanMiya, BartTorvik, and Haslametrics.

These rating are going to change, but if projections hold Georgia did not get a great conference schedule. They have just two Quad one games at home against Auburn and Mississippi State. They have 3 Q1 games on a neutral court, and then all 9 chances on the road. But the road games aren’t even the type of Q1 games you want to see. The ‘worst’ opponent on the road is Ole Miss, and then Arkansas and Bud Walton Arena is one of the toughest venues to play in. With Calipari on board now that crowd will be charged up.

Georgia will really need to outperform expectations in their non-conference slate and steal a few road games if they’re going to have NCAA Tournament thoughts.

THE RULING

Modest expectations could help smooth any struggles White’s roster encounters this season.

Across the SEC, programs used the transfer portal — still stocked with players possessing a fifth year of eligibility — to stay old. Those rosters are easier to project because most older players are at the peak of the development curve. Yet UGA stuck with a more traditional rebuild, and with it comes more variance in how key cogs might perform.

Georgia’s roster features prospects who could turn into NBA-level players, headlined by Demary and Newell. But how many freshmen truly break out and power their teams? Even Reed Sheppard and Stephon Castle operated in supporting roles last season. And suppose that doesn’t happen for Newell. In that case, it’s still likely that general managers will draft him based on projections about how he might perform several years from now.

If Demary and Newell aren’t ready to headline, it will pressure White’s vets to shoulder more work. We know what to expect from players like Lawrence and Leffew, who have combined to play 200 games in their college careers. By now, we know what they are, and it’s hard to envision them pushing UGA up the standings. The same goes for Godfrey and Abson.

There’s a timeline where Demary and Cain take their sophomore leap, Newell shows flashes, and the rest of the talent fills in around them, but the engine is Demary. In that universe, Georgia is a threat in the SEC, plays sound defense and looks like the 2021 Florida Gators with Tre Mann, coached by Mike White. A safe NCAA Tournament team led by a sophomore guard and some consistent shooting.

My Results: Georgia Bulldogs — 14th in Conference, 6-12


About the preview: a number of respected basketball bloggers were asked to submit one pick for the entire league schedule game by game. The game by game option allows us to account for the unbalanced schedule when addressing any kind of power rankings. Each set of picks are reflected in “the Masses” picks. Included in “the Masses” are various SEC media members who made picks at my request, as well as additional credit given to the analytics projections.

If you’d like to submit your picks, click here for the Google Form we used. If you want to know your results, send me an email.

Additionally, instead of relying solely on KenPom.com for the analytics site projections, we’re taking the average of the four main sites (EvanMiya.com, BartTorvik.com, Haslametrics.com, and KenPom.com) to give a closer consensus picture. These are weighted a touch for reliability.

The projections: This is new! In an attempt to be as accurate as we could be we increased the amount of analytics used to make individual projections which influenced how these teams slotted in order. Matt Watkins used an in-depth method for projecting the entire SEC transfer list, we then mixed in EvanMiya.com’s BPR projections, and BartTorvik.com’s preseason individual projections to round out the expected production based upon how each coach routinely uses his rotations.

GLOSSARY

* – an asterisk denotes a walk-on player

GP – Games Played

%min – percentage of total available minutes played, does not account for time missed due to injury

%poss – percentage of team possessions the player is responsible for ending a possession, whether by making a shot, missing a shot not rebounded by the offense or committing a turnover. For returning players this is noted as a percentage of total team possessions. For newcomers it was total possessions when that player was on the floor, better known as Usage Rate.

ORtg – Offensive Rating, similar to a points per possession but averaged out over 100 possessions. So it’s how many points a player would score if they were responsible for 100 possessions.

BPR – Bayseian Performance Rating, a single player efficiency metric created by Evan Miyakawa to determine both offensive and defensive impact when a player is on the floor.

PPG – Points Per Game, RPG – Rebounds Per Game, APG – Assists Per Game: All traditional statistics used to measure player production.

For newcomer player rankings, we used EvanMiya.com’ s rankings for transfers, and 247sports.com ‘s Composite Rating for Freshmen and Junior College signees.

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Mo’s Monday Musings: TCB Counts for Something

COLLEGE FOOTBALL: OCT 12 Missouri at UMass
Photo by M. Anthony Nesmith/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

UMass isn’t exactly the ‘72 Dolphins, but how the Tigers responded after a blowout loss to A&M was important

Some quick observations from week number seven of the college football season, served up in four quarter style. Legal Disclaimer: these views are my own and may be really dumb.


1st Quarter: Mizzou – Taking care of business counts for something

I fully admit that I regrettably let Mizzou’s beatdown by Texas A&M affect my excitement for the rest of the season. The way the Tigers got punked so convincingly really soured me on this team having a chance to be special. It soured me so much so that I considered not watching the game at UMass because I knew the Tigers could go fart around for 60 minutes in Amherst and still win by four touchdowns. And what in the world would that possibly tell us about this team?

Well thankfully the mature half of my psyche won out, and forced my butt to sit down like a grown up and watch the game. I’m glad I did, and I’m glad I saw how the Tigers handled themselves on Saturday.

We all know that UMass is barely an FBS worthy program. We all know that if you took the worst SEC team of the last 25 years – whoever that was – that SEC team would beat this UMass team 100 times out of 100. So what did this win prove about the Tigers?

It proved that on the field, Mizzou is vastly superior to UMass, and the Tigers played the bully role well on Saturday against an overmatched opponent. In essence it told us very little, because Mizzou won’t be able to line up and do whatever it wants against any of its remaining opponents this season like it did on Saturday.

But the effort wasn’t for naught. The one thing that encouraged me most had to do with the fact of how Mizzou got out of the gate on both sides of the ball. Before you could blink, Mizzou was up 14-0 and on the way to smooth sailing. The Tigers needed to handle their business like pros a week after such a devastating failure, and they did just that.

You know full well that the players knew they could literally roll the helmets out and walk out with a win in this game. You know the Tiger coaches were all over their guys all week long to not take UMass lightly. Whether they truly listened or not, the results showed that the players grew up a little bit and handled their business early on and consistently all day long.

There was a little bit of angst late in the first half when Mizzou gave up a long drive while leading, 21-3. But just when it looked like UMass was going to score and make the game interesting, Corey Flagg, Jr. flipped the field with a long interception return that set up a Blake Craig field goal at the halftime gun to make it 24-3. It was all Tigers the rest of the way.

Like Coach Drink said post-game, this one could have gone a lot of different ways. You could have seen Mizzou come out sleepy, sloppy and slow. But instead they were sharp, stout and speedy.

In the end, I choose to believe that this team learned something from the humiliation they were dealt in College Station and that they took a step forward with how they handled business. The proof will be in the pudding the rest of the season as to how good this team will end up being. But on Saturday in Amherst, they looked like they needed to look. They took care of business.

To me, that counts for something.


2nd Quarter: SEC – Oh no, Vanderbilt, what is you doin’ baby?

Since Mizzou survived an upset bid by Vanderbilt, us Tiger fans can sit back and enjoy the chaos that the Commodores are bringing to the SEC this season. It’d be a different feel had Vandy walked off of Faurot Field with a win of course. But because of Mizzou’s nail-biting win, we can all appreciate what’s going on in Nashville.

After dropping that heartbreaker in double overtime to the Tigers, Vanderbilt has asserted itself into the discussion of most surprising teams in the entire nation with a 40-35 win over previously undefeated and #1 Alabama, and then followed with an impressive 20-13 road win at Kentucky this week.

Big Blue Nation fans were none too pleased with the product they saw their Wildcats display in Lexington on Saturday. The boo birds were out in full force late in the first half, and reports had a large portion of the crowd filing out with nine minutes left in the game when the Commodores took a 20-7 lead on a long field goal.

Sitting at 4-2 overall and 2-1 in SEC play so far, Vanderbilt is definitely the feel-good story of the league this year. Will they be able to keep it up? I wouldn’t predict that they’ll be running the table, but then again who thought they’d be the ones to knock off Alabama this season?

Vandy finishes their non-conference schedule up this Saturday by hosting the State of Ball. They’re near four-touchdown favorites in that one so they should improve to 5-2. Then, the schedule gets tougher as they play host to #1 Texas before finishing the season with games at Auburn, at home against South Carolina, at LSU and at home against Tennessee. A 2-3 finish might be a little deflating in the end, but would still produce a 7-5 record, a mark that hardly anyone saw coming.


3rd Quarter: National – Service (academies) with a smile

Don’t look now, but Army is 6-0 and Navy is 5-0. Both teams cracked the Associated Press Top-25 poll this Sunday for the first time together since October of 1960. Army came in at number 23 after a 44-10 trouncing of UAB, while Navy entered the polls at 25 despite being idle Saturday.

Neither team has what could be considered a marquee win this season, but both squads have been impressively dominant. Army’s average margin of victory has been 29.8 points per game, while Navy’s average win spread is close behind, at 23.4.

They both play Notre Dame later this season, which will give us all a true indication of just how our service academies will stack up against high-level Division I talent. But even if neither can knock off the Irish, they’re on a collision course for one of the most potentially monumental Army-Navy games ever played on Dec. 14th.

It’s hardly fathomable to think we could actually see either Army or Navy in the College Football Playoff 12-team field, but if they keep rolling, it could happen. And what a sight that would be.


4th Quarter: Dealer’s Choice – Just win, baby

Closing up the thoughts this week by going back to Mizzou and how I’m going to approach the rest of the season.

Like I said above, I was really disheartened by the debacle at Texas A&M. I entered the season thinking 10-2 was attainable and that the Tigers would be in the mix for a CFP berth.

It’s still possible, and in order to do so what they have to do is win. They don’t have to win out, but with six games, five wins would put them at that 10-2 mark. Would that be good enough to get in? There would likely be good arguments on either side of the equation, but obviously there’s so many unknowns at this point that it’s impossible to know, and really a waste of time to spend much thought on it.

So, all I’m looking for the Tigers to do is win. Just win, baby. I don’t care if it’s the ugliest win in Faurot Field history this Saturday, just win. Then let it all hang out at Alabama and see what happens. After all, the Tide will be coming off their bitter rivalry game with Tennessee this week, who knows what kind of mood they’ll be in when the Tigers come visiting?

After that, it’s games against Oklahoma, South Carolina, Mississippi State and Arkansas that will determine the fate of the 2024 season.


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