Beyond the Box Score: Butt

Oct 8, 2024 | Uncategorized

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That game was butt.

What can you learn about a game that went into garbage time after the first play of the second half? I’d argue: not much.

In this pieces I show you success rates by quarter, where you can see how successful Mizzou’s offense and their opponent’s offense by quarter. The purpose is to show you at what part of the game the offense executed the best but it also helps show you the disparity between how opposing units operated as the game went on.

I’m going to show you two boxes of Success Rates by Quarter. There aren’t any team identifiers associated with these, but they all did happen this year.

Here’s the first:

Exhibit A

And here’s the second:

Exhibit B

Now, the next clue I’ll give you is that both of these boxes involved Mizzou.

Want to take a guess?

Here’s your answer.

Exhibit A is Missouri (on the top) vs. Murray State (on the bottom).

Exhibit B is Missouri (on the top) vs. Texas A&M (on the bottom).

The point? In terms of success rates, A&M beat Missouri about as bad as Missouri beat its FCS opponent this year.

Moving on.

Again, there’s really nothing you can learn from this game but, for tradition’s sake, I’m going to post everything that I normally do. Mostly because I did the work and I need someone to see it to make all of this worth it.

Advanced Box Score

Mizzou ran three more plays on the same amount of possessions as A&M but was doubled up (at a minimum) in total yards, yards per play, yards per possession, yards per carry, yards per attempt, average yards gained on 1st-down, and points per opportunity.

This was a total ass whipping. As a top ten team. Shameful.

When Missouri Has the Ball

Missouri’s Offense vs. Texas A&M’s Defense

Entering this game Mizzou’s overall offensive success rate was 49.0%. Rushing success rate was 49.6%. Passing success rate: 48.5%.

For the game, Mizzou’s overall offensive success rate was 25%. Rushing: 28%. Passing: 25.8%.

It was just as bad as it looked.

Run The Dang Ball

Not only did Mizzou not hit the goal of 45% success rate running the ball, they only called designed runs on 21 plays. Out of 60 plays total. Against the 53rd-best rushing defense in the country.

Winner: Texas A&M

Capitalize on Passing Downs

I set the goal at 37% passing downs success rate and…you know what, Missouri wasn’t able to keep this game close enough to have this even remotely matter. So, no, I’m not doing the math on this one.

Winner: Probably Texas A&M but who cares everything sucked anyway

FINISH. YOUR. DRIVES.

Six scoring opportunities. Ten points.

Winner: Texas A&M

When Texas A&M Has the Ball

Missouri’s Defense vs. Texas A&M’s Offense

Seven different players ran the ball and ten different receivers caught a pass. Even the Swedish guy caught a ball! %&@# dude this was bad.

Make ‘em throw

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA. Dammit.

Winner: Texas A&M

Turn them over

Lol no.

Winner: Texas A&M

The Little Things

“The Little Things” Report Card
Demerits

Hey y’all the penalty problem got fixed.

Extra Points

Success Rate by Quarter
  • The game went into garbage time after the first play of the 3rd quarter.
What down did the yards happen?
  • Hey at least A&M didn’t go more than 100 yards on 2nd-down.
What quarter did the yards happen?

[fart sounds]

First Downs Gained

Not only did Mizzou only convert 5 of their 3rd downs, they only gained 10 1st-downs the entire game, four of which came when Brady Cook threw to Luther Burden. Bad.

Conclusion

All of Mizzou’s goals are still in front of them, just harder to achieve now.

Go undefeated and you end up at 11-1 and Mizzou’s in the Playoff.

Go lose one game and the record sits at 10-2 and the Tigers are sweating the selection process… but could be in (depending on, ya know, what every other team ends up record-wise).

Lose two more games and the record is 9-3 and you’re probably out of the Playoff.

Go kick UMass’ ass and dominate Auburn and bring back some positivity to this season.

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